Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.011830 0.014384 0.017596 0.022027 0.028142 0.036543 0.049456
2025-02-16 0.008680 0.011515 0.015568 0.022100 0.033057 0.052278 0.093300
2025-02-23 0.007034 0.009842 0.014197 0.021995 0.037097 0.069472 0.164295
2025-03-02 0.005824 0.008437 0.012715 0.020960 0.038719 0.083504 0.260249
2025-03-09 0.005051 0.007531 0.011782 0.020512 0.041241 0.102619 0.444689
2025-03-16 0.004581 0.007023 0.011397 0.020980 0.046202 0.136036 0.949454
2025-03-23 0.004162 0.006522 0.010907 0.021043 0.050234 0.174197 2.217453
2025-03-30 0.003724 0.005921 0.010101 0.020123 0.050880 0.200157 4.697476
2025-04-06 0.003400 0.005484 0.009547 0.019655 0.052815 0.239871 14.998185
2025-04-13 0.003209 0.005270 0.009410 0.020212 0.058935 0.330641 475.517536
2025-04-20 0.003110 0.005217 0.009603 0.021735 0.070479 0.540954 NaN
2025-04-27 0.002981 0.005087 0.009599 0.022708 0.080951 0.861190 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002768 0.004788 0.009222 0.022634 0.087669 1.302387 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002586 0.004536 0.008922 0.022768 0.096654 2.228383 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002416 0.004288 0.008586 0.022662 0.104564 3.934676 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002224 0.003972 0.008030 0.021584 0.104337 5.441251 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002080 0.003746 0.007667 0.021118 0.108834 9.709539 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001989 0.003624 0.007559 0.021605 0.123196 36.405179 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001891 0.003478 0.007362 0.021671 0.134488 236.337230 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001768 0.003264 0.006951 0.020714 0.133296 971.347598 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001672 0.003104 0.006667 0.020226 0.137419 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001617 0.003033 0.006624 0.020806 0.157616 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001593 0.003032 0.006780 0.022391 0.200833 NaN NaN